
In the midst of recent political and economic developments, many investors are questioning which companies and sectors in India can remain unaffected by US President Donald Trump’s unpredictable decisions—particularly regarding tariffs and trade policies. The key to long-term investing lies in selecting sectors that are insulated from global political shocks, ensuring that any short-term market volatility does not derail business fundamentals.
When choosing investments, the first step should always be to select the right sector. If the sector is strong, even the tenth-ranked company in that space can deliver good returns. Conversely, if the sector is weak, even the top company might struggle to provide average returns. With that in mind, here are eight sectors that are least likely to face long-term negative impacts from Trump’s policies.
8. Hospital and Diagnostic Sector
Hospitals, diagnostic centers, and healthcare service providers remain largely immune to tariff-related policies. Around 90% of their revenue comes from domestic medical needs—patients falling ill, seeking treatment, and being discharged. Healthcare is considered inflation-proof, as people cannot postpone treatment based on economic or political changes. Regardless of any tariff increases or decreases, this sector continues to generate stable earnings, making it a strong defensive choice for investors.
7. Agriculture and Dairy Sector
India is an agriculture-driven nation, and policy restrictions make it extremely difficult for foreign companies, including American firms, to directly enter this market. Even if Trump wishes to tap into dairy farming or agriculture, the Indian government’s long-standing policies, backed by public sentiment, act as a strong barrier. High tariffs—often 150% to 200%—are imposed on such imports, ensuring that domestic companies dominate this segment. As a result, agriculture and dairy businesses remain largely unaffected by US trade actions.
6. Railway Sector
More than 90–95% of India’s railway sector is government-owned and operated. While political leadership and ministerial appointments can influence decision-making, foreign policies and tariff actions have minimal direct impact. Investors focusing on railway stocks must keep an eye on budgets, elections, and ministry-level changes, as these factors hold greater significance than global politics in this sector.
5. Airline Sector
India’s airline industry is witnessing significant growth, with passenger numbers rising steadily year after year. Competition remains limited, especially among listed airline companies, and domestic demand continues to fuel expansion. While all businesses carry risk, the airline sector’s fundamentals are driven primarily by internal market growth rather than international tariff policies.
4. Telecom Sector
India’s telecom industry is dominated by a handful of domestic players, making it relatively insulated from global tariff disruptions. The only point of caution is the entry of international players like Elon Musk’s Starlink in the internet space, which could change competitive dynamics. Still, for now, the core telecom sector remains largely unaffected by Trump’s trade measures.
3. Finance Sector
This sector includes banks, NBFCs, and other financial institutions, whose operations are primarily domestic. Their business model—borrowing at a lower rate and lending at a higher rate—remains unchanged regardless of tariff policies. While short-term market swings can impact stock prices, the larger economic picture drives growth in this space. For long-term investors, finance remains a protected and vital sector of the Indian economy.
2. Power Sector
The electricity and power sector, including solar energy, is largely domestic in nature and heavily regulated by the government. However, investors must ensure that solar companies they consider derive at least 90% of their revenue from within India. Firms dependent on the US market for 50–60% of their income could face significant risks if tariffs shift unfavorably.
1. Infrastructure Sector
As a developing country, India’s infrastructure sector—covering roads, bridges, dams, and urban development—still has vast growth potential. Domestic projects and government-backed initiatives drive this sector, making it resilient to international trade disputes. Infrastructure remains one of the most promising areas for investors looking to capitalize on India’s growth trajectory.
Conclusion
These eight sectors—hospital, agriculture, railway, airline, telecom, finance, power, and infrastructure—offer resilience against Trump’s tariff policies and other global trade disruptions. Investors should begin by identifying the right sector, then move on to selecting companies within that space. By focusing on industries with strong domestic foundations, one can safeguard investments from unpredictable global political changes and ensure long-term growth potential.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Investing in the stock market involves risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Readers are advised to conduct their own research or consult with a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author and the website do not take responsibility for any financial losses incurred based on the content of this article